Make things as ominous as possible so any lesser alternative (like Russia annexing Crimea) will look reasonable compared to war.
The crisis in Crimea has been many years in the making, and made it ripe for the taking.
To paint Russian leadership as reactionary, ham-fisted hardliners is to ignore a decade of methodical deployment of soft power techniques, patient construction of fifth columns, and the massive incentives Russia has not to blow the place up.
Focus on Russia’s military is misdirection; it is absolutely important, but the real benefit to brinkmanship is to make other outcomes seem downright reasonable.
In light of recent setbacks, two potential outcomes are both reasonable (when compared to the extremes of military conflict and secession) and advantageous for Russia:
One more quote from the piece, see anything familiar? [My emphasis]
If Crimea is going to pull away from Kyiv’s control to full autonomy, some violence will likely be involved. Paid protests, with a bit of violence at the margins, have been commonplace in Crimea; so there is tested infrastructure for civil unrest. Prompting small groups of young men to make poor decisions is not terribly difficult to engineer.
…and tough to film:
The video was a feat of physical exertion, technical precision and patience. The duo, who repeatedly met up from opposite sides of California, carried roughly 70 pounds of gear to the nearly 9,000-foot top of Half Dome, the distinctive flat peak that soars above Yosemite Valley. Once there, they managed to capture night stars in perfect focus as they swept across the sky as well as the first light breaking over distant peaks.
Hard to believe it’s been two years. Two friggin’ years since Breitbart passed away. Wow.
“I’ve got video from his college days that show you why racial division and class warfare are central to what hope and change was sold in 2008 – the videos are going to come out… The video shows Obama meeting “a bunch of silver pony tails” like Bill and Bernardine Dohrn (Weather Underground members), who radicalized him.”
Then he was gone, by the end of that month, a heart attack claimed his life. I have a hunch, had Andrew Breitbart lived, the November elections may have had a different outcome. Breitbart had a way of refocusing media attention, whether they liked it or not.
Franklin Center had a tribute video a year later, but I think I like the job the Red Eye crew did best of all.